Its task then is to minimise this projected loss. The BJP should not make the cardinal sin – to take a second term for granted.
The Congress may to not necessarily get 100 more seats.
This comes down one question- ‘how many does the BJP need to form a winning NDA coalition?
This will depend on how many parties would remain in the NDA. Khushwaha has already left. The Shiv Sena will not be much help, and the JD(U) will be difficult in Bihar. The TRS does not need NDA. The SAD is a spent force. The recently held state elections just saw a number of new rebel candidates. Mamta and Naidu have already barred CBI from their territories.
Instead of looking like a surefire winner, the BJP now looks like a defender and as such new partners will be difficult to bring in NDA fold.
This time the situation appears to be worse. There is no Navjot Siddhu, Shatrughan Sinha, Yashwant Sinha to boost BJP prospects. So far there has been a display of brutal arrogance arising out of the worst form of complacency.
Post debacle, amid ruins, there appears to be only one hope: the BJP may win Odisha !
The BJP and the media underestimated Rahul Gandhi and his utterances on Rafale, farm loans waive, etc. He is now being credited to have transformed his party and enhanced its electoral chances. Rahul seems to learn his lessons on politics from the BJP to carve out new winning methods.
However, the appointments of the CMs in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh indicate that Rahul Gandhi is not yet fully in control of power. The Congress has to be watchful.
The first principle of a gentleman is to admit mistakes and say sorry. Arvind Kejriwal did this four years ago and reaped rich dividends; that is history now. The BJP should resist the temptation to think that the Modi magic will work wonders every election and irrespective of the results at state level, the general elections would be different.
However, one thing appears to have been firmly established post December 11. India now has two major political national parties around which smaller parties will have to get linked somehow. None of the regional leaders – Naveen Patnaik, Mayawati, Mamta, Naidu, Akhilesh or Nitish – can aspire to become the PM. They must enlist a support from either the BJP or the Congress.
Ideologically, the BJP and the Congress are the same. On economic or social policies, they are reluctant to undertake deep reforms and prefer handouts just to keep the popular protests at bay. Sensible, long term economic policies are unwelcome for both of them. In general, a well spread out chaos suits every political party. This is precisely what divide-and-rule is all about.
Either way, it is the common man who bears everything. The prospect of a sustained high growth under either party is ruled out. The chances for the overall growth of the Nation is dismal.
Whether NaMo is no more, may be debated, but one statement has already been cast in stone – fair play in the field of politics is no more. It never was.